Bank of England
Base Rate Projection

Updated 23 July 2024
Market Consensus Forecast for BoE Rates implied from SONIA Futures
This Market Consensus Forecast is generated using data on publicly-traded Sterling Overnight Interbank Average Futures and other closely related benchmark interest rates. Using this information a forward term structure for the full yield curve is generated. The term structure is interpolated and smoothed using a three-factor parametrization model, generating the final forecast. This forecast can be interpreted as the periodic mean market-expected values of Sterling Overnight Rates.

The Sterling Overnight Interbank Average Rate is a measure of overnight lending rates between banks using British sterling.  It is administered by the Bank of England and is frequently used as a standardized measure of risk-free interest rates by U.K. Authorities.
• This information is a guide only and should not be relied on as a recommendation or advice that any particular mortgage or investment strategy is suitable for you
• Please do your own research and discuss it with qualified, FCA regulated professionals before making any decision.
• All mortgages are subject to the applicant(s) meeting the eligibility criteria of lenders.
• Make an appointment to receive mortgage advice suitable for your needs and circumstances.